Rooting out cognitive biases in the intelligence analysis business needs much more than sticking a post-it note on your computer screen. One of the more interesting aspects of the work IMSL does is helping organisations develop management techniques for the intelligence process. With one or two notable exceptions, most intelligence analysts and most intelligence organisations are very prone to cognitive biases
IMSL has long provided bespoke intelligence training to both public and private sector organisations on an ad-hoc basis, but until now those courses have been restricted to organisations which can block-book a classroom. That’s just changed, and in a little under a month, IMSL is running the first of a series of scheduled intelligence related…
The World Bank has produced an interesting report, looking at the intelligence systems required to to work towards the prevention of elephant crime
Yesterday the US Government released to the public details of documents seized from Usama Bin Laden’s hide-out in Abbottabad. One section of these are translations of letters, and they are most intriguing. One of the interesting aspects is Bin Laden’s concerns about OPSEC. Now, in of itself, thats no surprise. I’ve read through the translated…
This book helps you understand mathematical techniques that help intelligence analysts avoid cognitive biases.
A WW2 TECHINT operation by the British in a neutral country- scrap merchants and spies, and a sunken battleship.
An absolute gem of 19th century espionage intrigue in Paris and the activities of the Tsarist intelligence agency the Okhrana.
Every organisation has its political bias, its “commitment” towards some cause or other, and it is human nature for leaders (and followers) to drive an organisation towards a given goal utilising their other human strengths and weaknesses.
At some stage in every intelligence analysts life (and sometimes very frequently) the intelligence analyst is placed in a position where the consumer of the intelligence they are providing their product to holds firmly held views which are incorrect. In some cases the consumer of intelligence is looking to the analysts to confirm their views,…
There’s an excellent article here in the Guardian by Ben Goldacre on our modern digital exhaust. Well worth a read. You want to know what creepy is? Well it’s this.